Perhaps the single best side effect of a slow housing market is the positive impact on affordability. In the most recent affordability report from the National Association of Realtors last week we learned that housing affordability conditions in January reached the highest level since they began tracking it more than 30 years ago.
NAR’s index is based on the relationship between median home price, median family income and average mortgage interest rate. The higher the index, the greater the average family’s purchasing power. In January, the index was 206 (an index of 100 is defined as the point at which a median-income household has exactly enough income to qualify to purchase a median-priced home).
What does this mean? The obvious conclusion is that now is a great time to buy a home – if you can afford it and qualify for a mortgage, that is.
However, it’s also good to remember the context of this news and that everything’s relative (read: local) in real estate. I say that because many of our Bay Area markets have been seeing price increases, bidding wars and conditions that may make area buyers conclude that it’s really not so easy to be a buyer these days after all. Unless you’re lucky enough to be paying cash, it can still be extremely tough to get a loan that will cover the cost of an average home around here.
Affordability is an important figure, for sure. But I just want to point out that when taken at the national level, there’s not much of a story to tell. Just because housing has been deemed “most affordable” since 1970 doesn’t mean markets have hit bottom in terms of pricing. Some are actually enjoying highs above recent years. And others will continue to struggle for another year or two at least – as long as their foreclosure situations remain serious and job markets weak.
Affordability is important to the health of markets. But affordability itself really comes down to individual financial situations. Can you afford this home right now and going forward? These are the important questions buyers always need to ask – regardless of market conditions.
So if you’re a buyer or seller paying attention to news headlines like this one, remember to always think locally to find the right context. Yes, housing is the most affordable it’s been since the ’70s at the national level. But that means nothing to your city or neighborhood, which may be experiencing an amazing boom compared to years past – or still lagging behind due to other circumstances.
Affordability in real estate is always relative.


