Posts Tagged ‘home buyers’

Intero Insider: Why Low Interest Rates Are Still Vital to the Housing Economy

By Gino Blefari | January 17th, 2012 0 Comments

Interest rates. It’s a constant topic of conversation in real estate, and this year so far is no different than the last few: We’re kicking it off with some of the lowest interest rates on long-term mortgages that the market has ever seen. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reached an all-time low of 3.89% this month, according to a survey tracked by Freddie Mac.

Two messages are important in this news for home buyers and sellers. They are:

1. Low interest rates are significant for home buyers, equating to big savings when locked in at the right time. This is a point that can actually motivate a lot of buyers to get off the fence.

For instance, let’s look at a .5% increase in a mortgage rate on a 30-year mortgage for $425,000. Say our buyers could get a 4.75% interest rate when they first start their real estate search. If they indeed buy a home and lock in a mortgage at this rate, they’ll end up paying $373,120.42 in total interest over the life of the loan.

But say these buyers get lost in their decision-making process and end up taking eight months to make a decision on a home. By the time they lock in their rate, they end up with a 5.25% interest rate on a 30-year mortgage for the same $425,000 loan. Now, they’ll end up paying $419,871.66 in interest over the life of the loan. That’s a $46,751.24 increase in the final interest bill – substantial to the average family buying a home.

Taking advantage of the lowest rates possible is a key message that will help to motivate a lot of buyers in 2012.

2. While no one can predict when interest rates will increase or by how much, we know they inevitably will increase, but can also feel comfortable that they’re not going to jump suddenly. Most analysts and industry observers expect rates to remain low as long as the economy is still in a slow recovery. That’s good news for buyers and sellers alike (more affordable borrowing means more buyers in the market, in most cases).

Low interest rates alone cannot save a housing slump, or single-handedly create a boom (remember that our last boom was also fueled by very loose loan underwriting standards that created a lot demand from market segments that would not be eligible for loans under today’s standards). But they’re still extremely important to the recovery story. They still have a vital role. Let’s not undermine that, or let that point get lost in the shuffle.

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Intero Insider: Why Home Values Are So Misunderstood

By Gino Blefari | November 1st, 2011 0 Comments

Home values – it’s a topic we hear about a lot in the news, and one of great concern to home buyers and sellers, but one I feel many people gravely misunderstand. A survey released last week from Zillow underscores this misunderstanding.

The survey’s headline reads: “42% of Home Buyers are Unrealistic About Home Value Appreciation,” and goes on to explain that despite the recent economic downturn and volatility in the nation’s housing markets, 42% of those surveyed said they believe home values typically appreciate by 7% per year.

On a national level, home values declined for five consecutive years during the downturn. Historically, in a “normal” market, home values tend to appreciate at an average 2-5% per year. What is it that creates such an unrealistic view on home values – even now as much of the economy is still suffering?

Psychology of ownership: I think part of the reason home buyers are so optimistic about values appreciating is because they truly believe in the value of home ownership. In their minds, owning a home is the ultimate economic security, and one that will return financial value to their lives in many ways. Because it is so valuable to them, they feel like the numbers on appreciation move faster than historically they have.

Leftover boom mentality: Many buyers today witnessed the insane appreciation seen during the 10-year housing boom. News headlines constantly read crazy stats like “California home values up 20% from a year ago.” I think that collectively, we got used to this and quickly lost sight of history, which shows home values increasing at a much slower pace.

In a fast-moving society, home ownership is a slow means of financial gratification. However, even the stock market requires 10+ years to truly profit for the average investor. But you’d never know that by the programs you see on TV and the offerings of being able to pick and trade stocks online while you eat lunch.

I think it’s important as real estate service providers to give consumers the context around home values and what is so-called “normal.” Home ownership is a long-term investment that should be made first and foremost as a way to provide a stable place to live, then secondly as a way to create financial security. We can’t let consumers assume that buying a house is their ticket to retirement, just like we can’t let them assume that values will continue to decline forever.

A house is a different kind of asset than other financial investments. You can’t unload a house like you can with other investments. And home values only really matter when it’s time to buy or sell anyway. I say we promote the true value of owning a home as what it was always meant to be: owning your own home, the place you live, the place where you build a family and create your life’s memories. If its value appreciates in the process (which, historically, it normally does over the long-term), then that’s great. But keep those expectations in line with reality and don’t make any buying decisions based on what you think the resale value will be a year from now. That’s just the kind of boom mentality that got us into this mess in the first place.

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Intero Insider: ‘Tis the Season for Home Buyers

By Gino Blefari | November 30th, 2010 0 Comments

It may be the best time of year for traditional retailers who find their bottom lines moving from red to black, but in the housing industry, sales tend to slow down when the yuletide rolls in. Nobody likes to move during the holidays, but if you’re in the market to buy and don’t mind the timing, you may actually have the best timing of all.

While a recent Fannie Mae survey shows more consumers are more negative now about buying a home, there are still plenty of folks looking for a house to own. And the great news is that deals abound!

Here are three things that home buyers have going for them this holiday season:

  • Inventory galore: The inventory of homes for sale of course depends on your market, but markets across the nation generally are experiencing high inventory levels. This is not exactly a great thing for the overall health and sustainability of the market and economy, but it is a good thing for those buyers who are ready to make a move.
  • Historically low interest rates: I can’t really stress this enough – the low rates we’re seeing on long-term mortgages are incredible! Forget about missing out on the home buyer tax credit earlier this year – these low rates will save you even more cash in the long run than any government incentive so far.
  • Relaxed competition: With high inventory comes less competition. Again, this isn’t great for home sellers or for sustaining values, but as a buyer you’ll find that you have more negotiating power. Use it wisely.

Here’s what this season’s buyers will need to watch out for:

  • Stellar credit gets the best deal: Sure, rates are incredibly low but you’ll need a solid credit score to get the best terms. You’ll also need a ton of documentation so it’s best to prepare that stuff ahead of time.
  • Cash needed: This is true now and pretty much always – more cash will enable you to get a better loan and make for an all-around better closing experience.
  • Local market conditions: Is your market still on the decline? That’s no reason to wait to buy, but it’s something you should take into account when making your offer.

Bargains abound at all the top stores across the nation. And this year, the “real estate” store is not much different. Buyers indeed have the upper hand in many neighborhoods. Don’t let the holidays derail your home hunt entirely – you may just miss the sale of the century! Talk to an Intero agent today about what’s available near you.

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Intero Insider: ForeclosureGate’s Impact on Our Recovery

By Gino Blefari | October 19th, 2010 0 Comments

We’re now deep into a widespread foreclosure investigation – in fact, it has reached “gate” status. ForeclosureGate is upon us.

Last week, I discussed why this foreclosure news was a big deal– not because it could mean millions of people were falsely foreclosed upon (remember, this is likely not the case), but because it presents a major hurdle on the road to housing recovery.

At this point, attorneys general in all 50 states have begun a joint investigation into the mortgage industry. At the heart of this investigation are accusations that some banks used shoddy paperwork to evict homeowners and a “robo-signing” process to move foreclosure proceedings forward.

It’s more than a little ironic that what got us into this housing slump – lax mortgage industry practices – now stands in the way of our recovery. That road to recovery is really what this is all about. Let’s keep our eye on it, shall we?

While there is no official moratorium on foreclosures at this point, since accusations began JP Morgan has halted foreclosures in the 23 states where they need a judge’s permission, and Bank of America and GMAC Mortgage have suspended foreclosures nationwide. From the banks’ point of view, it’s the only thing they can do at this point to show that they are taking the accusations seriously and are reviewing paperwork and procedures.

From everyone else’s point of view, this is a giant obstacle. Obstacle, yes. End of real estate sales? No.

Foreclosures in recent months have made up a healthy portion of sales in many markets. But the truth is that there are still a lot of great deals for home buyers that are not foreclosures. We need to reinforce this fact with consumers.

We need to keep our road to recovery on track, whether ForeclosureGate is happening or not. Sure, it begins to feel a bit like we’re paddling upstream, but we have got to let the market continue to move. At times, you may feel like there are people lined up alongside your closing table shouting, “The market is crashing! We’ll never recover!” as you try to sign and close your deal. It’s a challenge indeed, but not a moratorium.

ForeclosureGate is a story that will be with us for awhile. This has already created problems and will continue to slow things down. But we must move ahead – for the sake of home buyers and sellers, for the sake of a healthy sales pace and recovering home prices.

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Intero Insider: What Lower Demand Means

By Gino Blefari | August 25th, 2010 0 Comments

The data on the street points to lower demand for homes and increased supply throughout the end of the year. This is a recipe for market slowdown, for sure. But the news means different things to different people and entities.

Here is my take:

Home buyers: The best news is first. Buyers have it made right now. Interest rates are now at all-time lows. Not historic or near historic, but all-time lows.

And of course the higher inventory and lower demand in many markets gives the buyer more to choose from and more negotiating power simply because there is less competition from other buyers.

Bottom line for home buyers is that this news is good – excellent, in fact.

Home sellers: Simple math and physics tell us that when one side of a scale is up, the other side is down. Sellers may be on the down side of the equation here, but there is an upside. Fortunately, for the seller, this simple math can never account for the intangibles like an elite neighborhood, amazing schools, or the emotion that often is real estate.

Every sale needs just one buyer – the right one. When this occurs, the seller gets what he or she needs and moves on.

Bottom line for home sellers is that it may be tough, but definitely not impossible. If your location is coveted or your home has a lot of other appeal, there’s no need to fret.

The housing industry: Slowdown for the second half of the year, but not a halt. Be prepared for longer deals and more hurdles. These may be frustrating times, but many successful entrepreneurs are made in times of economic hardship. Be patient, work hard and don’t be afraid to innovate. Now is not the time to retreat.

Bottom line for the industry is that these slow times will weed out the weakest professionals.

Renters: Fewer home buyers can mean more renters so look for much more competition when you’re searching for your next rental. Rents may climb in some markets.

Bottom line for renters is that it may not be the best time to look for a new place. If you are financially and psychologically ready to become a homeowner, you might want to check out your buying options instead.

The economy: A slow housing market is not the greatest news for the economy as a whole. But the underlying factors causing the slow housing market are actually of more concern to the economy right now – slow job growth, massive deficit, deflation risks.

Bottom line is that the housing market will continue to be a topic of discussion in Washington. Look for more programs or program ideas to help tip the scales to faster growth.

To conclude, you see there are winners and losers in the low-demand, high-supply scenario. It’s all in how you see it. Opportunities are there for everyone.

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