Posts Tagged ‘existing home sales’

Intero Insider: A Quick Pulse on the National Market

By Gino Blefari | September 27th, 2011 0 Comments

The housing market had a glimpse of good news this past week when the latest report on existing home sales showed an increase in sales both from the previous month and compared with a year earlier. There were a lot of things going on this report, so let’s dig in:

  • Sales of existing homes increased 7.7% to a rate of 5 million in August, up from 4.67 million in July. Sales were up 18.6% from August 2010. Obviously, this is a great sign. While many news reports early this week focused on the dismal housing starts numbers, existing home sales are a better indicator to watch because as long as there’s a glut of existing home inventory in many markets, starts will remain low. In other words, existing sales need to move first before any improvement in starts will take place.
  • Investors continue to gobble up property; the share of investors buying existing homes in August accounted for 22% of total sales, up from 18% in July and 21% in August 2010. Investors are motivated by the incredibly low cost of borrowing right now and the hot rental market that continues to see more demand and rising rents in many areas.
  • First-time buyers remained steady, accounting for 32% of home purchases in August. That was unchanged from July, and up slightly from 31% in August a year ago. This is surprising, given the many problems with contracts falling through. But again, it’s a great time to buy for those buyers who are financially ready – rock-bottom interest rates, amazing affordability, and plenty of home inventory to choose from.
  • Contract problems persist. The percent of contracts that fell through in August was 18%, up from 16% in July and 9% a year ago. Realtors say cancellations are largely due to declined mortgage applications or problems with appraised values coming back too low to support the negotiated price.

What’s the overall read? Not much has changed, despite the positive growth in sales. Low rates, bargain prices and a healthy rental market continue to lure more investors and first-time buyers. Restrictions in the lending market and problems with fluctuating home values continue to plague a lot of deals. What we’re seeing now is the slow growth many predicted and expected to happen earlier in the year.

What’s next? The Fed’s been discussing its new “Operation Twist” tactic, which basically means it’s going to be manipulating long-term interest rates by buying long-term bonds. The Fed has already said it’s keeping short-term rates low for the next two years – and at zero, they can’t even really do much more on that front. So, you guessed it – even lower interest rates may be on the horizon for home loan borrowers, which should help to fuel demand going into the traditionally slow season.

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Intero Insider: Why Plunging Home Sales Won’t Kill Real Estate

By Gino Blefari | August 31st, 2010 0 Comments

The latest housing news is pretty grim: existing home sales fell 27.2 percent in July from the previous month to 3.3 million, the lowest in more than a decade. We’re definitely seeing the expected drop-off coming off the end of the home buyer tax credit.

Most of us saw this coming. The very point of the home buyer tax credit was to pump life into the market and entice buyers to move off the fence. Take it away and you’re merely peeling back the covers from the real situation, showing that many potential buyers are tepid, scared of losing their jobs, optimistic that prices will come down just a little more, or simply not able to get a loan.

Amid this news, the New York Times featured a story saying that housing is no longer considered a means to build wealth.

But that’s where I need to stop and think.

There’s no getting around the fact that the market is slow and expected to be slow through the end of the year. True.

And there’s no question that flipping houses is not the part-time moneymaking hobby it once was during boom years. Very true.

But to swear off real estate as a means to build wealth is a bit dramatic. It’s true that in most cases, a buyer cannot look at a house solely as a monetary investment. It’s simply not that – it’s more. It’s a roof over your head. It’s the place where your children grow from toddlers to young adults. It’s where you spend your days and nights living your life.

A home is shelter, but it’s also ownership. Last I checked, you can’t really put a price on the kind of pride that comes with homeownership. Ask anyone whether it’s a dream of theirs to own a home and you’ll likely hear a resounding “yes.”

Again, it’s the intangibles of real estate that will keep this market alive.

A home is not a casino slot machine. It’s not a mutual fund. But it is a relatively safe way to spend your monthly housing budget. In the long-term, homes will still return value to their owners – and while it may not be in the form of doubling your returns, it is a true asset, a thing that you own free and clear after the mortgage is paid.

At the end of the loan, it’s still yours, not the landlord’s or the bank’s. Yours.

So even amid a declining market while analysts and pundits decry real estate a non-wealth builder, a dead end, myself and 60 million+ other homeowners disagree. We decided to put our money into our homes and are proud of it. I don’t think that sentiment is going to change overnight.

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Intero Insider: Housing News a Mixed Bag

By Gino Blefari | August 3rd, 2010 0 Comments

The best way to sum up housing market news right now is: the data show things are improving, but remain at not-so-great levels. Sorry to break it to you this way, but at least there are some positives.

Let’s dig in:

  • New home sales were up 23.6 percent in June, according to Census Bureau statistics. And while this was a great increase from May, the rate was 16.7 percent below the level in June 2009.
  • Also, home prices rose in May, according to the latest S&P/Case-Shiller 10-city and 20-city home prices indexes. Prices in the 10-city index increased 1.2 percent and prices in the 20-city index increased 1.3 percent. Compared with a year earlier, the 10-city index rose 5.4 percent and the 20-city reading increased 4.6 percent.
  • Existing home sales slowed 5.1 percent in June from May, according to figures reported by the National Association of Realtors. It was the second month of decline for existing sales, which many say was partly due to the expiration of the housing tax credit (contracts had to be in place by April 30 to qualify). But the June sales figures were up 9.8 percent from June 2009. NAR also said the inventories were up and prices were stable.

Now, the fun part: what does all this mean?

Well, first let’s not overlook the fact that there are indeed sales happening. So even if you’re of the “sky is falling” mind, you can’t deny that people are still buying and selling homes.

Second, we all pretty much knew that home sales would dip in the months after the tax credit expired. While the tax credit may not have created transactions out of thin air, it certainly put a fire under a great number of buyers to move quickly. Now the market doesn’t have those buyers who, under normal circumstances, may have bought in the summer instead of the spring.

Third, the fact that prices held steady and showed some increase is a good sign.

The reality here is that the housing market moves on. Life events will continue to drive transactions. Sure, times are tough for home sellers and those of us who work in this industry. But we at Intero actually see these times as a great opportunity to succeed. There are some great deals out there for today’s buyers and investors. Borrowing conditions are fantastic for those who qualify.

These are times when innovation really does stand out and make a difference.

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