By Lately, I’ve been noticing how poorly the housing market is covered by the media. And I don’t mean that the media is to blame for all our problems. What I mean is that real estate markets are varied, complex and much much smaller than you may realize.
Housing is more than a headline. When you listen to reports of national home prices increasing or demand slowing, it’s easy to get lost because they rarely go much deeper than that.
Throw in a mixture of reports – on the same day, even – and it gets all the more confusing. Case in point: last week CoreLogic reported home prices increased for the fourth straight month, while the IMF warned of a possible double-dip recession for housing. Confused?
Let’s not forget reality #1 of real estate: location is everything.
For instance, your national report may be screaming doom and gloom, but your neighbor’s house just sold for $50,000 above asking price. Or your nightly news report may say home prices are up, but meanwhile your neighbors are slashing prices. What’s going on here?
The housing market, like all markets depends on the balance between supply and demand. But in real estate, supply and demand can vary wildly not just by city and state – but by neighborhood and even street. That’s how delicate the market for real estate is and why it is so difficult to talk about at the macro level.
So there’s location to consider. But then there’s also individual circumstance. Sure, it may be a horrible time to sell your house when you read the numbers, but if you are relocating for a once-in-a-lifetime career opportunity, then it’s your time to sell.
Same for buyers. Sure, it may be the best time in the last 15 years to buy a house, but if you’re looking at a potential job loss or have no money for a downpayment, now is not a good time for you.
Think about that the next time you or someone asks, “How’s the market?”
The real question to ask is, “How’s the market in your neighborhood and under your circumstances?”
Real estate is not only local – it’s all relative.
Keep this in mind as we continue to slog through this recovery. Because the horrifying and confusing headlines will not stop anytime soon. Foreclosures are at massive levels, supply is climbing, and interest rates are at historic lows. The mixture of these news bits will make your head spin. Are things getting better? Worse?
The only people who can truly answer those questions are the buyers and sellers who are in your market right now, and the agents who know it inside out.
