When I first got in the Business in 1981 I met someone wearing a little button on his lapel with these letters, EGBAR. He told me it stood for “Everything’s Going to Be All Right”. At the time interest rates were 18.5 % and 4 points… That’s how I feel about the government’s latest policy pronouncements about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
As you might know, the federal government on Christmas Eve made the announcement that the U.S. Treasury would essentially provide these two agencies with as much capital as they might need.
Originally, there has been a cap on how much money the government would provide, but the administration said that they will now do whatever is necessary to keep these Agencies alive and well.
There’s almost unanimous opinion by analysts that these two agencies won’t need additional monies, but housing experts still applauded the move. And I’m one of them. Their view is that by saying they will stand behind Fannie and Freddie, even if such a statement is not necessary, it would provide a calming influence to investors in the agencies’ debt.
Let me explain something. There are two types of securities at issue, (1) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Mortgage Backed Securities, and (2) bonds issued by these two entities. The first category is and always has been backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Investors know that if they buy a mortgage backed security they will not lose any principal.
The bonds issued by Fannie and Freddie are another thing, however. They have never been backed by the U,.S. government. Interestingly, many people thought so, but it simply wasn’t the case. By offering unlimited support, investor around the world can safely buy Fannie or Freddie bonds.
People opposed to this support say it provides Fannie and Freddie with a blank check. And from a literal point of view, they’re precisely right.
However, broader public policies are at play here, and the real issue is that such a “blank check” will probably never be cashed, but the fact that it exists will provide stability and predictability to our housing markets.
Right now, with such a fragile economy and difficult housing environment, stability and predictability are precisely what the market needs.
I applaud what the government did.
I think it will help get things back to normal.
EGBAR
